PENTAGON PIZZA WATCHTHU JUL 30 · 18:49 ET
The archive · 2026-01-05 to 2026-07-29

Seven months of watching. Mostly, it found lunch.

We have recorded every tracked venue every 30 minutes since January. That is 58,596 readings across 171 days — long enough to stop guessing about whether this indicator does anything, and start checking. This page is the answer, including the parts that are unflattering.

Readings
58,596

Every venue, every 30 minutes, since 5 January.

Days
171

Continuous, apart from gaps where no venue reported.

Notable episodes
37

Departures far enough above normal for the hour to register.

Were lunch
68%

Episodes falling between 10:00 and 15:00 Eastern.

When it moved, by hour of day

If this index were detecting unusual work at the Pentagon, its alerts would cluster at odd hours. They cluster at noon.

4
00
3
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
6
10
3
11
12
12
7
13
2
14
2
15
1
16
17
1
18
19
20
21
1
22
2
23

Episodes by Eastern hour. The tallest bar is midday.

Every episode, ranked

Each one is a moment the composite ran far enough above what is normal for that weekday and half-hour to be worth flagging. We have deliberately not paired these with news events. The honest position is that we recorded activity, not causes — and inviting readers to match dates to headlines after the fact is exactly how this theory gets oversold.

DateTime (ET)Most likelyPeakNormalAbove normal
July 4, 2026 Sat10:30Lunch9840.54.1σ
January 9, 2026 Fri01:30Late night94414.0σ
May 3, 2026 Sun13:00Lunch8130.73.9σ
January 17, 2026 Sat01:00Late night7941.93.7σ
February 13, 2026 Fri12:00Lunch77313.4σ
February 9, 2026 Mon12:00–13:30Lunch98313.4σ
April 23, 2026 Thu11:00–12:00Lunch9233.43.4σ
March 20, 2026 Fri00:00–01:00Late night8742.63.2σ
March 25, 2026 Wed10:00–11:00Lunch74363.1σ
March 2, 2026 Mon12:00Lunch71313.0σ
April 30, 2026 Thu12:00Lunch71313.0σ
June 19, 2026 Fri22:00Late night9446.13.0σ
July 23, 2026 Thu11:00Lunch6733.43.0σ
April 9, 2026 Thu15:00Other10041.52.9σ
March 21, 2026 Sat14:00Lunch8332.12.9σ
April 3, 2026 Fri00:00Late night8242.62.9σ
February 20, 2026 Fri01:30Late night78412.8σ
March 11, 2026 Wed10:30Lunch73342.8σ
February 8, 2026 Sun13:00Lunch6830.72.8σ
April 8, 2026 Wed12:00Lunch68312.8σ
January 19, 2026 Mon12:00Lunch68312.8σ
February 11, 2026 Wed23:00Late night9847.32.8σ
February 2, 2026 Mon12:00Lunch67312.7σ
April 29, 2026 Wed12:00Lunch67312.7σ
February 7, 2026 Sat13:00Lunch6630.72.7σ
July 8, 2026 Wed10:00–11:00Lunch69362.7σ
April 7, 2026 Tue16:00Other8741.12.7σ
April 23, 2026 Thu12:30Lunch8740.32.7σ
February 2, 2026 Mon13:00Lunch7734.42.6σ
January 10, 2026 Sat14:00Lunch7932.12.6σ
January 31, 2026 Sat23:00Late night8549.22.6σ
July 24, 2026 Fri15:00Other9441.52.6σ
February 21, 2026 Sat18:00Dinner8641.92.6σ
February 11, 2026 Wed00:00Late night7842.62.5σ
March 24, 2026 Tue13:00Lunch7534.42.5σ
July 16, 2026 Thu12:30Lunch8440.32.5σ
May 4, 2026 Mon12:30–13:30Lunch8440.32.5σ

What we got wrong

An earlier version of this analysis found 58 episodes rather than 44. Twenty-two of them were an artifact of our own scoring: when fewer than three venues are reporting, the index is capped at 49 rather than allowed to claim anything from a tiny sample. Overnight that is most rounds — so the baseline for midnight to 2am became a stack of synthetic 49s, and any night three venues did report scored as a dramatic anomaly against it. Thirteen of those false episodes were Fridays.

Those 456 capped rounds are now excluded from the baselines entirely. We are documenting it because a tracker that only publishes its hits is not measuring anything — it is marketing.

So does it work?

On this evidence, no — not as an indicator of anything happening inside the Pentagon. Across 171 days, 68% of everything it flagged happened between 10am and 3pm, and the single largest departure in seven months was the Fourth of July. The rest are Friday nights and busy weekday lunches.

That is not a reason to stop measuring it. It is a reason to be accurate about what is being measured: restaurants near the Pentagon get busy at mealtimes, and this is what that looks like at 30-minute resolution over seven months. If the pattern ever genuinely breaks, this archive is what would let anyone tell.

Everything here is recomputed from raw readings with the current formula, so the whole record uses one definition rather than whatever the scoring happened to be at the time. The full methodology is here.

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